Predictions are gimmicks, they are like supermarket tabloids or carney tricks. I always liked the distinction Paul Saffo makes between predicting and forecasting, some might see as splitting hairs (not me):
“Predicting is about certainty, and forecasting is about appreciating uncertainty. Forecasting gives a context for decision-makers to act in the face of uncertainty. In the business world, uncertainty is our friend, because uncertainty is opportunity.” —
especially that middle sentence
This has been fascinating to observe remotely, Dave. Thanks for the openness!