Dave, I like the flagrant style. I suspect that seers should always be flagrant. No one remembers the timid prediction, especially if it’s correct.

I can’t see how your first prediction will fail. MOOCs will radically change higher education, effectively killing traditional campuses. I don’t mean, however, that the buildings will go away or that people will stop gathering in beautiful settings to learn. Rather, I mean that even those f2f classes that survive will be radically informed by MOOCs. Traditionalists will not recognize the classroom in 20 years. A seminar of 10 people isolated in a room, even a beautiful room, will cease to make sense.

Then, too many millions of people are entering the higher ed market worldwide for traditional classrooms to meet the demand. We can’t build campuses fast enough. I don’t know that MOOCs are the answer, but they are definitely a step toward the answer—and a step away from traditional classrooms.

BTW, congratulations on coining the term of the century (MOOC); though, I think community as curriculum is more important.